Anatoly Malykhin vs Tom Aspinall
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-1-0Record15-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'5"
78"Reach78"
224 lbsWeight251 lbs
Raty TeamTeamTeam Kaobon
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1786
If they lose-16→ 1754
If they win+16→ 1791
If they lose-16→ 1759
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1701 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anatoly MalykhinTom Aspinall
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tom Aspinall61%
Anatoly Malykhin 39%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Tom Aspinall a 61% favorite over Anatoly Malykhin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1770 vs 1775), separated by just 5 points.
Tom Aspinall enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Anatoly Malykhin finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tom Aspinall 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.