Anderson dos Santos vs Kevin Natividad
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-13-0Record9-4-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
70,0"Reach70"
147 lbsWeight135 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1600
If they lose-12→ 1576
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1531 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anderson dos SantosKevin Natividad
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kevin Natividad66%
Anderson dos Santos 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Natividad a 66% favorite over Anderson dos Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Anderson dos Santos's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1588 vs 1588), separated by just 0 points.
Anderson dos Santos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kevin Natividad enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Anderson dos Santos finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Natividad 67%.
Anderson dos Santos and Kevin Natividad share 1 common opponent: Miles Johns.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.