Anderson dos Santos vs Martin Day
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
25-13-0Record8-7-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'10"
70,0"Reach40,5"
147 lbsWeight145 lbs
Babuino Gold TeamTeamHawaii Elite MMA
What's at stake
Anderson dos Santos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Martin Day carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1598
If they lose-13→ 1574
If they win+18→ 1568
If they lose-14→ 1536
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anderson dos SantosMartin Day
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Martin Day68%
Anderson dos Santos 32%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Martin Day a 68% favorite over Anderson dos Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Anderson dos Santos's way (45%).
Anderson dos Santos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1587 to 1550, a 37-point edge.
Anderson dos Santos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Martin Day enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Anderson dos Santos finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Martin Day 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.