Anderson dos Santos vs Nad Narimani
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-13-0Record12-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'8"
70,0"Reach40,5"
147 lbsWeight150 lbs
Babuino Gold TeamTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 22 rated
What's at stake
Nad Narimani is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Anderson dos Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1602
If they lose-10→ 1578
If they win+13→ 1664
If they lose-19→ 1632
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1531 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1603 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anderson dos SantosNad Narimani
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nad Narimani72%
Anderson dos Santos 28%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Nad Narimani a 72% favorite over Anderson dos Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Nad Narimani holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1651 to 1588, a 63-point edge.
Anderson dos Santos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Nad Narimani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Anderson dos Santos finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Nad Narimani 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.