Anderson Silva vs Chael Sonnen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
34-11-0Record31-17-1
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
77"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team NogueiraTeamTeam Quest
What's at stake
Anderson Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Chael Sonnen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1728
If they lose-14→ 1704
If they win+14→ 1686
If they lose-10→ 1662
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1707 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1763 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anderson SilvaChael Sonnen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anderson Silva56%
Chael Sonnen 44%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Anderson Silva a 56% favorite over Chael Sonnen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Anderson Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1718 to 1672, a 46-point edge.
Anderson Silva enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Chael Sonnen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Anderson Silva finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Chael Sonnen 39%.
Anderson Silva and Chael Sonnen share 1 common opponent: Michael Bisping.
Anderson Silva carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.