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Combat Edge Intelligence

Anderson Silva vs Chris Leben

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chris Leben
us

Chris Leben

“The Crippler”

22-12-0MiddleweightUFC

1635Solid

Tale of the tape

34-11-0Record22-12-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'11"
77"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1598 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamAlliance MMA· 1651 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

Anderson Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Chris Leben carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Anderson SilvaNow 1687
If they win+10→ 1697
If they lose-14→ 1673
Chris LebenNow 1635
If they win+14→ 1649
If they lose-10→ 1625

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1630 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.05
Sig. strikes / min
2.89
62%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.07
61%
Strike defense
52%
0.50
Takedown avg.
1.23
78%
Takedown accuracy
41%
69%
Takedown defense
54%
0.79
Submission avg.
0.87

Trajectory

Anderson SilvaChris Leben
16501700201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

23 (68%)
KO/TKO
12 (55%)
3 (9%)
Submission
5 (23%)
8 (24%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Anderson Silva70%
Chris Leben 30%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Anderson Silva a 70% favorite over Chris Leben in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Anderson Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1687 to 1635, a 52-point edge.

Anderson Silva enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Chris Leben enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Anderson Silva finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Chris Leben 77%.

Anderson Silva and Chris Leben share 2 common opponents: Uriah Hall and Derek Brunson.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossTKO · 2020
Uriah Hall
LossTKO - Doctor's Stoppage · 2013
WinDEC · 2017
Derek Brunson
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2012