Anderson Silva vs Chris Leben
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-11-0Record22-12-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'11"
77"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team NogueiraTeamAlliance MMA
What's at stake
Anderson Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Chris Leben carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1727
If they lose-15→ 1703
If they win+15→ 1650
If they lose-9→ 1626
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1707 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1630 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anderson SilvaChris Leben
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anderson Silva58%
Chris Leben 42%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Anderson Silva a 58% favorite over Chris Leben in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Anderson Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1718 to 1635, a 83-point edge.
Anderson Silva enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Chris Leben enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Anderson Silva finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Chris Leben 77%.
Anderson Silva and Chris Leben share 2 common opponents: Uriah Hall and Derek Brunson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.