Combat Edge Intelligence

Anderson Silva vs Chris Weidman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chris Weidman
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Chris Weidman

“The All-American”

16-8-0MiddleweightBOXING

1705Good

Tale of the tape

34-11-0Record16-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
77"Reach78"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team NogueiraTeamSerra-Longo Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anderson SilvaNow 1718
If they win+12→ 1730
If they lose-12→ 1706
Chris WeidmanNow 1705
If they win+17→ 1722
If they lose-15→ 1690

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1707 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1734 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.05
Sig. strikes / min
3.11
62%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.37
61%
Strike defense
51%
0.50
Takedown avg.
3.27
78%
Takedown accuracy
42%
69%
Takedown defense
72%
0.79
Submission avg.
0.82

Trajectory

Anderson SilvaChris Weidman
17001750180020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

23 (68%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
3 (9%)
Submission
4 (25%)
8 (24%)
Decision
6 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Weidman67%
Anderson Silva 33%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Weidman a 67% favorite over Anderson Silva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Anderson Silva's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1718 vs 1705), separated by just 13 points.

Anderson Silva enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Anderson Silva finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Chris Weidman 63%.

Anderson Silva and Chris Weidman share 1 common opponent: Uriah Hall.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossTKO · 2020
Uriah Hall
LossTKO · 2021