Combat Edge Intelligence

Anderson Silva vs Daniel Cormier

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

34-11-0Record22-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height5'11"
77"Reach72"
185 lbsWeight251 lbs
Team NogueiraTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

Daniel Cormier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Anderson Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Anderson SilvaNow 1718
If they win+16→ 1734
If they lose-8→ 1710
Daniel CormierNow 1823
If they win+8→ 1831
If they lose-16→ 1807

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1707 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1777 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.05
Sig. strikes / min
4.25
62%
Strike accuracy
53%
2.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.92
61%
Strike defense
55%
0.50
Takedown avg.
1.83
78%
Takedown accuracy
45%
69%
Takedown defense
80%
0.79
Submission avg.
0.42

Trajectory

Anderson SilvaDaniel Cormier
1700175018001850201920202021

Win method breakdown

23 (68%)
KO/TKO
10 (45%)
3 (9%)
Submission
5 (23%)
8 (24%)
Decision
7 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Cormier81%
Anderson Silva 19%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Cormier a 81% favorite over Anderson Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Daniel Cormier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1823 to 1718, a 105-point edge.

Anderson Silva enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Daniel Cormier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Anderson Silva finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Cormier 68%.

Anderson Silva carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.