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Combat Edge Intelligence

Anderson Silva vs Demian Maia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

34-11-0Record28-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
77"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1598 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamDemian Maia Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

Demian Maia is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Anderson Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Anderson SilvaNow 1687
If they win+15→ 1702
If they lose-9→ 1678
Demian MaiaNow 1774
If they win+9→ 1783
If they lose-15→ 1759

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1767 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.05
Sig. strikes / min
1.80
62%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.07
61%
Strike defense
64%
0.50
Takedown avg.
2.49
78%
Takedown accuracy
25%
69%
Takedown defense
62%
0.79
Submission avg.
0.99

Trajectory

Anderson SilvaDemian Maia
1700175018002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

23 (68%)
KO/TKO
3 (11%)
3 (9%)
Submission
14 (50%)
8 (24%)
Decision
11 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Demian Maia67%
Anderson Silva 33%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Demian Maia a 67% favorite over Anderson Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Demian Maia holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1774 to 1687, a 87-point edge.

Anderson Silva enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Demian Maia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Anderson Silva finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Demian Maia 61%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.