Combat Edge Intelligence

Anderson Silva vs Forrest Griffin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

34-11-0Record19-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
77"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1594 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Anderson Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Forrest Griffin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Anderson SilvaNow 1708
If they win+10→ 1718
If they lose-14→ 1694
Forrest GriffinNow 1658
If they win+18→ 1676
If they lose-14→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1691 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1711 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.05
Sig. strikes / min
4.38
62%
Strike accuracy
36%
2.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.81
61%
Strike defense
61%
0.50
Takedown avg.
1.05
78%
Takedown accuracy
48%
69%
Takedown defense
57%
0.79
Submission avg.
0.73

Trajectory

Anderson SilvaForrest Griffin
165017001750201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

23 (68%)
KO/TKO
4 (21%)
3 (9%)
Submission
6 (32%)
8 (24%)
Decision
9 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Anderson Silva55%
Forrest Griffin 45%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Anderson Silva a 55% favorite over Forrest Griffin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Anderson Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1708 to 1658, a 50-point edge.

Anderson Silva enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Anderson Silva finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Forrest Griffin 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.