Combat Edge Intelligence

Anderson Silva vs James Irvin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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James Irvin
us

James Irvin

“The Sandman”

17-10-0MiddleweightGC

1485Average

Tale of the tape

34-11-0Record17-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
77"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team NogueiraTeamReign MMA

What's at stake

Anderson Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — James Irvin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Anderson SilvaNow 1718
If they win+5→ 1723
If they lose-19→ 1699
James IrvinNow 1485
If they win+25→ 1510
If they lose-7→ 1478

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1707 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.05
Sig. strikes / min
2.05
62%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.89
61%
Strike defense
35%
0.50
Takedown avg.
0
78%
Takedown accuracy
0%
69%
Takedown defense
37%
0.79
Submission avg.
0.52

Trajectory

Anderson SilvaJames Irvin
150016001700180020082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

23 (68%)
KO/TKO
12 (75%)
3 (9%)
Submission
3 (19%)
8 (24%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Anderson Silva67%
James Irvin 33%Elo baseline: 79%

The Combat Edge model makes Anderson Silva a 67% favorite over James Irvin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (79%).

Anderson Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1718 to 1485, a 233-point edge.

Anderson Silva enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Anderson Silva finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, James Irvin 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.