Anderson Silva vs Nate Marquardt
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-11-0Record36-20-2
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
77"Reach42,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1598 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamHigh Altitude Martial Arts
What's at stake
Anderson Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Nate Marquardt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1698
If they lose-13→ 1674
If they win+13→ 1664
If they lose-11→ 1640
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1623 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Anderson SilvaNate Marquardt
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anderson Silva68%
Nate Marquardt 32%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Anderson Silva a 68% favorite over Nate Marquardt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Anderson Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1687 to 1651, a 36-point edge.
Anderson Silva enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Anderson Silva finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Nate Marquardt 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.