Anderson Silva vs Nick Diaz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-11-0Record26-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
77"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1598 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamCesar Gracie Fight Team
What's at stake
Nick Diaz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Anderson Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1702
If they lose-9→ 1678
If they win+9→ 1775
If they lose-15→ 1751
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1719 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Anderson SilvaNick Diaz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nick Diaz67%
Anderson Silva 33%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Nick Diaz a 67% favorite over Anderson Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Nick Diaz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1766 to 1687, a 79-point edge.
Anderson Silva enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Nick Diaz enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Anderson Silva finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Nick Diaz 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.