Anderson Silva vs Stephan Bonnar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-11-0Record15-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
77"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team NogueiraTeamOne Kick's Gym
What's at stake
Anderson Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Stephan Bonnar carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1726
If they lose-16→ 1702
If they win+21→ 1634
If they lose-11→ 1602
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1707 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anderson SilvaStephan Bonnar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anderson Silva53%
Stephan Bonnar 47%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Anderson Silva a 53% favorite over Stephan Bonnar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Anderson Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1718 to 1613, a 105-point edge.
Anderson Silva enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Stephan Bonnar enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Anderson Silva finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Stephan Bonnar 67%.
Stephan Bonnar carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.