Anderson Silva vs Thales Leites
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-11-0Record28-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
77"Reach78,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
Thales Leites is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Anderson Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1731
If they lose-11→ 1707
If they win+11→ 1755
If they lose-13→ 1731
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1707 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1713 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anderson SilvaThales Leites
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Thales Leites70%
Anderson Silva 30%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Thales Leites a 70% favorite over Anderson Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Thales Leites holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1744 to 1718, a 26-point edge.
Anderson Silva enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Anderson Silva finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Thales Leites 68%.
Anderson Silva and Thales Leites share 1 common opponent: Michael Bisping.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.