Anderson Silva vs Travis Lutter
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-11-0Record10-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
77"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1598 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamLion's Den Dallas
What's at stake
Anderson Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Travis Lutter carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1693
If they lose-18→ 1669
If they win+36→ 1540
If they lose-12→ 1492
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1638 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Anderson SilvaTravis Lutter
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anderson Silva89%
Travis Lutter 11%Elo baseline: 74%
The Combat Edge model makes Anderson Silva a 89% favorite over Travis Lutter in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).
Anderson Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1687 to 1504, a 183-point edge.
Anderson Silva enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Anderson Silva finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Travis Lutter 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.