Combat Edge Intelligence

Anderson Silva vs Travis Lutter

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Travis Lutter
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Travis Lutter

“The Serial Killer”

10-6-0Middleweight

1504Average

Tale of the tape

34-11-0Record10-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
77"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team NogueiraTeamLion's Den Dallas

What's at stake

Anderson Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Travis Lutter carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Anderson SilvaNow 1718
If they win+5→ 1723
If they lose-19→ 1699
Travis LutterNow 1504
If they win+37→ 1541
If they lose-11→ 1493

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1707 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1638 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.05
Sig. strikes / min
0.41
62%
Strike accuracy
32%
2.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.42
61%
Strike defense
43%
0.50
Takedown avg.
1.95
78%
Takedown accuracy
24%
69%
Takedown defense
30%
0.79
Submission avg.
0.65

Trajectory

Anderson SilvaTravis Lutter
15001600170018002009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

23 (68%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
3 (9%)
Submission
7 (70%)
8 (24%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Anderson Silva78%
Travis Lutter 22%Elo baseline: 77%

The Combat Edge model makes Anderson Silva a 78% favorite over Travis Lutter in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).

Anderson Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1718 to 1504, a 214-point edge.

Anderson Silva enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Anderson Silva finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Travis Lutter 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.