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Combat Edge Intelligence

Anderson Soares vs Evan Dunham

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-7-0Record18-9-1
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
-Reach70,0"
135 lbsWeight155 lbs
CT VasconcelosTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anderson SoaresNow 1663
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
Evan DunhamNow 1669
If they win+12→ 1681
If they lose-12→ 1657

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1495 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
5.33
Not available
Strike accuracy
39%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.54
Not available
Strike defense
62%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.82
Not available
Takedown accuracy
33%
Not available
Takedown defense
80%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.98

Trajectory

Anderson SoaresEvan Dunham
1550160016501700201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (63%)
KO/TKO
3 (17%)
4 (25%)
Submission
6 (33%)
2 (13%)
Decision
9 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Evan Dunham54%
Anderson Soares 46%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Evan Dunham a 54% favorite over Anderson Soares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1663 vs 1669), separated by just 6 points.

Anderson Soares enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Evan Dunham enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Anderson Soares finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Evan Dunham 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.