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Combat Edge Intelligence

Anderson Soares vs Nik Lentz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nik Lentz
us

Nik Lentz

“The Carny”

30-12-2LightweightUFC

1666Good

Tale of the tape

16-7-0Record30-12-2
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight155 lbs
CT VasconcelosTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anderson SoaresNow 1663
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
Nik LentzNow 1666
If they win+12→ 1678
If they lose-12→ 1654

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1495 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.44
Not available
Strike accuracy
48%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.25
Not available
Strike defense
50%
Not available
Takedown avg.
3.30
Not available
Takedown accuracy
33%
Not available
Takedown defense
44%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.24

Trajectory

Anderson SoaresNik Lentz
155016001650170020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (63%)
KO/TKO
11 (37%)
4 (25%)
Submission
8 (27%)
2 (13%)
Decision
11 (37%)

Combat Edge model read

Nik Lentz56%
Anderson Soares 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nik Lentz a 56% favorite over Anderson Soares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1663 vs 1666), separated by just 3 points.

Anderson Soares enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Nik Lentz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Anderson Soares finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Nik Lentz 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.