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Combat Edge Intelligence

Andi Vrtačić vs César Almeida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Andi Vrtačić
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Andi Vrtačić

“The Highlight Machine”

10-3-0MiddleweightBCF

1626Solid

Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record7-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
78.7"Reach74"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Trojan Free Fighters· 1567 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamLotus MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andi VrtačićNow 1626
If they win+16→ 1642
If they lose-16→ 1610
César AlmeidaNow 1628
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.73
Not available
Strike accuracy
60%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.23
Not available
Strike defense
44%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.20
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
53%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.20

Trajectory

Andi VrtačićCésar Almeida
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (70%)
KO/TKO
5 (71%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (30%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

César Almeida63%
Andi Vrtačić 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes César Almeida a 63% favorite over Andi Vrtačić in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1626 vs 1628), separated by just 2 points.

Andi Vrtačić enters on a 3-fight win streak.

César Almeida enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andi Vrtačić finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, César Almeida 71%.

Andi Vrtačić carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.