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Combat Edge Intelligence

Andi Vrtačić vs Jason Miller

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Andi Vrtačić
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Andi Vrtačić

“The Highlight Machine”

10-3-0MiddleweightBCF

1626Solid

Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record23-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
78.7"ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Trojan Free Fighters· 1567 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTeam Mayhem

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andi VrtačićNow 1626
If they win+16→ 1642
If they lose-16→ 1610
Jason MillerNow 1627
If they win+12→ 1639
If they lose-12→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.45
Not available
Strike accuracy
33%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.51
Not available
Strike defense
49%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.02
Not available
Takedown accuracy
17%
Not available
Takedown defense
44%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.28

Trajectory

Andi VrtačićJason Miller
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (70%)
KO/TKO
5 (22%)
0 (0%)
Submission
14 (61%)
3 (30%)
Decision
4 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Jason Miller57%
Andi Vrtačić 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jason Miller a 57% favorite over Andi Vrtačić in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1626 vs 1627), separated by just 1 points.

Andi Vrtačić enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Jason Miller enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Andi Vrtačić finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Jason Miller 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.