Andi Vrtačić vs Murilo Rua
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
10-3-0Record20-13-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'11"
78.7"ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight186 lbs
Trojan Free Fighters· 1567 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamUniversidade da Luta
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1642
If they lose-16→ 1610
If they win+12→ 1636
If they lose-12→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Andi VrtačićMurilo Rua
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Murilo Rua56%
Andi Vrtačić 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Murilo Rua a 56% favorite over Andi Vrtačić in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andi Vrtačić's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1626 vs 1624), separated by just 2 points.
Andi Vrtačić enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Murilo Rua enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Andi Vrtačić finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Murilo Rua 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.