Andi Vrtačić vs Warlley Alves
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-3-0Record14-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'11"
78.7"Reach72,0"
186 lbsWeight186 lbs
Trojan Free Fighters· 1567 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamRizzo RVT
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1642
If they lose-16→ 1610
If they win+16→ 1642
If they lose-16→ 1610
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Andi VrtačićWarlley Alves
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Warlley Alves57%
Andi Vrtačić 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Warlley Alves a 57% favorite over Andi Vrtačić in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andi Vrtačić's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1626 vs 1626), separated by just 0 points.
Andi Vrtačić enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Warlley Alves enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Andi Vrtačić finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Warlley Alves 71%.
Andi Vrtačić carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.