Combat Edge Intelligence

André Lima vs Jussier Formiga

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-1-0Record24-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
67″ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Lucas MineiroTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

André LimaNow 1718
If they win+16→ 1734
If they lose-16→ 1702
Jussier FormigaNow 1726
If they win+12→ 1738
If they lose-12→ 1714

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.06
Sig. strikes / min
1.42
60%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.34
58%
Strike defense
64%
1.36
Takedown avg.
1.82
75%
Takedown accuracy
35%
75%
Takedown defense
87%
1.14
Submission avg.
0.58

Trajectory

André LimaJussier Formiga
1650170017502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (10%)
Submission
11 (46%)
4 (40%)
Decision
13 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

André Lima67%
Jussier Formiga 33%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes André Lima a 67% favorite over Jussier Formiga in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jussier Formiga's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1718 vs 1726), separated by just 8 points.

André Lima finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Jussier Formiga 46%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.