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Combat Edge Intelligence

André Lima vs Nate Maness

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-1-0Record16-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'10"
67″Reach72"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Lucas Mineiro· 1654 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamSalvation Mixed Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

André LimaNow 1733
If they win+16→ 1749
If they lose-16→ 1717
Nate ManessNow 1738
If they win+16→ 1754
If they lose-16→ 1722

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.94
Sig. strikes / min
3.14
57%
Strike accuracy
50%
2.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.88
59%
Strike defense
43%
1.11
Takedown avg.
0.68
10%
Takedown accuracy
75%
76%
Takedown defense
80%
0.93
Submission avg.
0.68

Trajectory

André LimaNate Maness
16501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
2 (18%)
Submission
3 (19%)
4 (36%)
Decision
7 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Nate Maness55%
André Lima 45%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Nate Maness a 55% favorite over André Lima in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1733 vs 1738), separated by just 5 points.

Nate Maness enters on a 2-fight win streak.

André Lima finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Nate Maness 56%.

Nate Maness carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.