Combat Edge Intelligence

André Muniz vs Bartosz Fabinski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-8-0Record16-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
78"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Tata Fight Team Montes ClarosTeamWCA Fight Team

What's at stake

André Muniz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Bartosz Fabinski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

André MunizNow 1722
If they win+9→ 1731
If they lose-15→ 1707
Bartosz FabinskiNow 1634
If they win+20→ 1654
If they lose-12→ 1622

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1711 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.04
Sig. strikes / min
2.23
50%
Strike accuracy
68%
2.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.46
51%
Strike defense
51%
4.02
Takedown avg.
7.10
49%
Takedown accuracy
71%
36%
Takedown defense
80%
1.19
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

André MunizBartosz Fabinski
1650170017502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (17%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
15 (63%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (21%)
Decision
8 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

André Muniz78%
Bartosz Fabinski 22%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes André Muniz a 78% favorite over Bartosz Fabinski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

André Muniz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1722 to 1634, a 88-point edge.

André Muniz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

André Muniz finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Bartosz Fabinski 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.