Combat Edge Intelligence

André Muniz vs Brendan Allen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-8-0Record27-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
78"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Tata Fight Team Montes ClarosTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Brendan Allen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — André Muniz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

André MunizNow 1722
If they win+15→ 1737
If they lose-9→ 1713
Brendan AllenNow 1818
If they win+9→ 1827
If they lose-15→ 1803

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1711 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1734 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.04
Sig. strikes / min
3.59
50%
Strike accuracy
53%
2.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.62
51%
Strike defense
47%
4.02
Takedown avg.
1.56
49%
Takedown accuracy
42%
36%
Takedown defense
57%
1.19
Submission avg.
1.14

Trajectory

André MunizBrendan Allen
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (17%)
KO/TKO
6 (22%)
15 (63%)
Submission
14 (52%)
5 (21%)
Decision
7 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Brendan Allen82%
André Muniz 18%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Brendan Allen a 82% favorite over André Muniz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Brendan Allen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1818 to 1722, a 96-point edge.

André Muniz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brendan Allen enters on a 3-fight win streak.

André Muniz finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Brendan Allen 74%.

André Muniz and Brendan Allen share 2 common opponents: Edmen Shahbazyan and Paul Craig.

André Muniz carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossTKO · 2025
Edmen Shahbazyan
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2026
LossKO/TKO · 2023
Paul Craig
WinSubmission · 2023