Andras Kugler vs Kyohei Hagiwara
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-0-0Record9-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeight5'10"
TBDReach71.1"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
TeamTeam Smoker
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1518
If they lose-24→ 1470
If they win+16→ 1505
If they lose-16→ 1473
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1477 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Andras KuglerKyohei Hagiwara
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kyohei Hagiwara65%
Andras Kugler 35%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Kyohei Hagiwara a 65% favorite over Andras Kugler in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andras Kugler's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1494 vs 1489), separated by just 5 points.
Kyohei Hagiwara enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kyohei Hagiwara 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.