Andre Ewell vs Julio Arce
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-10-0Record21-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'7"
75"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight147 lbs
Apex MMATeamTeam Tiger Schulmann
What's at stake
Julio Arce is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Andre Ewell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1641
If they lose-9→ 1617
If they win+9→ 1712
If they lose-15→ 1688
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andre EwellJulio Arce
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Julio Arce76%
Andre Ewell 24%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Julio Arce a 76% favorite over Andre Ewell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Julio Arce holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1703 to 1626, a 77-point edge.
Andre Ewell finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Julio Arce 57%.
Andre Ewell carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.