Andre Ewell vs Renan Barão
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-10-0Record34-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'11"Height5'7"
75"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Apex MMATeamPitbull Brothers
What's at stake
Andre Ewell is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Renan Barão carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1637
If they lose-13→ 1613
If they win+17→ 1615
If they lose-15→ 1583
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andre EwellRenan Barão
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Andre Ewell56%
Renan Barão 44%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Andre Ewell a 56% favorite over Renan Barão in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Andre Ewell holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1626 to 1598, a 28-point edge.
Renan Barão enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Andre Ewell finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Renan Barão 68%.
Andre Ewell carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.