Combat Edge Intelligence

Andre Fialho vs Cláudio Nardo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-9-0Record9-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
74"Reach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamDojo Samurai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andre FialhoNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551
Cláudio NardoNow 1569
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.30
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
42%
Strike accuracy
TBD
6.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
46%
Strike defense
TBD
0.25
Takedown avg.
TBD
100%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Andre FialhoCláudio Nardo
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (81%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
1 (6%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (13%)
Decision
4 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Cláudio Nardo67%
Andre Fialho 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cláudio Nardo a 67% favorite over Andre Fialho in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1567 vs 1569), separated by just 2 points.

Andre Fialho enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Andre Fialho finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Cláudio Nardo 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.