Andre Fialho vs Garcia Kinkela
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Andre Fialho62%
Garcia Kinkela 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Andre Fialho a 62% favorite over Garcia Kinkela in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1554 vs 1554), separated by just 0 points.
Andre Fialho enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Garcia Kinkela enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Andre Fialho finishes 88% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
16-9-0Record2-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamAngolan Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1570
If they lose-16→ 1538
If they win+24→ 1578
If they lose-24→ 1530
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Andre FialhoGarcia Kinkela