AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Andre Fialho vs Jonathan Goulet

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-9-0Record23-12-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight169 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamTeam Legion

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andre FialhoNow 1553
If they win+16→ 1569
If they lose-16→ 1537
Jonathan GouletNow 1553
If they win+12→ 1565
If they lose-12→ 1541

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1574 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.30
Sig. strikes / min
1.61
42%
Strike accuracy
42%
6.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2
46%
Strike defense
46%
0.25
Takedown avg.
4.17
100%
Takedown accuracy
70%
67%
Takedown defense
45%
0
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Andre FialhoJonathan Goulet
155016002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (81%)
KO/TKO
12 (52%)
1 (6%)
Submission
8 (35%)
2 (13%)
Decision
3 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Andre Fialho71%
Jonathan Goulet 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andre Fialho a 71% favorite over Jonathan Goulet in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1553), separated by just 0 points.

Andre Fialho enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Andre Fialho finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Jonathan Goulet 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.