Combat Edge Intelligence

Andre Fialho vs Kiefer Crosbie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-9-0Record10-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
74"Reach70"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andre FialhoNow 1568
If they win+16→ 1584
If they lose-16→ 1552
Kiefer CrosbieNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.30
Sig. strikes / min
6.61
42%
Strike accuracy
52%
6.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.49
46%
Strike defense
51%
0.25
Takedown avg.
0.69
100%
Takedown accuracy
40%
67%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0.34

Trajectory

Andre FialhoKiefer Crosbie
1550160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

13 (81%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
1 (6%)
Submission
2 (20%)
2 (13%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Andre Fialho60%
Kiefer Crosbie 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andre Fialho a 60% favorite over Kiefer Crosbie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1568 vs 1567), separated by just 1 points.

Andre Fialho enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Kiefer Crosbie enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Andre Fialho finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Kiefer Crosbie 70%.

Andre Fialho carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.