Combat Edge Intelligence

Andre Fialho vs Michel Pereira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-9-0Record32-15-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
74"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight186 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamOvercome Academy

What's at stake

Michel Pereira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Andre Fialho carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andre FialhoNow 1568
If they win+21→ 1589
If they lose-11→ 1557
Michel PereiraNow 1692
If they win+8→ 1700
If they lose-16→ 1676

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1701 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.30
Sig. strikes / min
4.46
42%
Strike accuracy
52%
6.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.40
46%
Strike defense
51%
0.25
Takedown avg.
1.21
100%
Takedown accuracy
57%
67%
Takedown defense
76%
0
Submission avg.
0.65

Trajectory

Andre FialhoMichel Pereira
1550160016501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (81%)
KO/TKO
11 (34%)
1 (6%)
Submission
9 (28%)
2 (13%)
Decision
12 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Michel Pereira92%
Andre Fialho 8%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Michel Pereira a 92% favorite over Andre Fialho in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Michel Pereira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1692 to 1568, a 124-point edge.

Andre Fialho enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Andre Fialho finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Michel Pereira 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.