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Combat Edge Intelligence

Andre Fialho vs Seth Baczynski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Seth Baczynski
us

Seth Baczynski

“The Polish Pistola”

21-16-0MiddleweightNWFA

1554Solid

Tale of the tape

16-9-0Record21-16-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamPower MMA Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andre FialhoNow 1553
If they win+16→ 1569
If they lose-16→ 1537
Seth BaczynskiNow 1554
If they win+12→ 1566
If they lose-12→ 1542

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.30
Sig. strikes / min
3.08
42%
Strike accuracy
32%
6.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.14
46%
Strike defense
51%
0.25
Takedown avg.
0.89
100%
Takedown accuracy
17%
67%
Takedown defense
48%
0
Submission avg.
0.75

Trajectory

Andre FialhoSeth Baczynski
1550160020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (81%)
KO/TKO
8 (38%)
1 (6%)
Submission
11 (52%)
2 (13%)
Decision
2 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Andre Fialho67%
Seth Baczynski 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andre Fialho a 67% favorite over Seth Baczynski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Seth Baczynski's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1554), separated by just 1 points.

Andre Fialho enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Seth Baczynski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Andre Fialho finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Seth Baczynski 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.