
Andre Fili vs Bill Algeo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Bill Algeo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Andre Fili carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Andre Fili a 60% favorite over Bill Algeo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bill Algeo's way (46%).
Bill Algeo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1664 to 1636, a 28-point edge.
Andre Fili enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bill Algeo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Andre Fili finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Bill Algeo 61%.
Andre Fili and Bill Algeo share 1 common opponent: Joanderson Brito.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.