Andre Fili vs Cub Swanson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-14-0Record31-14-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
74"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamUFC Gym Costa Mesa
What's at stake
Cub Swanson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Andre Fili carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-8→ 1628
If they win+8→ 1756
If they lose-16→ 1732
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1691 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andre FiliCub Swanson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cub Swanson71%
Andre Fili 29%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Cub Swanson a 71% favorite over Andre Fili in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Cub Swanson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1748 to 1636, a 112-point edge.
Andre Fili enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cub Swanson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Andre Fili finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Cub Swanson 61%.
Andre Fili carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.