Combat Edge Intelligence

Andre Fili vs Felipe Arantes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Andre Fili
us

Andre Fili

“Touchy”

25-14-0FeatherweightUFC

1636Solid

Tale of the tape

25-14-0Record18-10-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
74"Reach73,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

Andre Fili is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Felipe Arantes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andre FiliNow 1636
If they win+9→ 1645
If they lose-15→ 1621
Felipe ArantesNow 1545
If they win+15→ 1560
If they lose-9→ 1536

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1691 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.88
Sig. strikes / min
2.37
38%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.66
51%
Strike defense
64%
2.32
Takedown avg.
0.93
47%
Takedown accuracy
47%
72%
Takedown defense
41%
0.22
Submission avg.
0.73

Trajectory

Andre FiliFelipe Arantes
15501600165020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (40%)
KO/TKO
7 (39%)
3 (12%)
Submission
6 (33%)
12 (48%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Andre Fili76%
Felipe Arantes 24%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Andre Fili a 76% favorite over Felipe Arantes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Andre Fili holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1636 to 1545, a 91-point edge.

Andre Fili enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Felipe Arantes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Andre Fili finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Felipe Arantes 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.