Andre Fili vs Hacran Dias
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-14-0Record29-13-1
FeatherweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'8"
74"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight162 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
Andre Fili is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Hacran Dias carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1659
If they lose-15→ 1635
If they win+15→ 1577
If they lose-9→ 1553
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1689 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Andre FiliHacran Dias
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Andre Fili73%
Hacran Dias 27%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Andre Fili a 73% favorite over Hacran Dias in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Andre Fili holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1650 to 1562, a 88-point edge.
Andre Fili finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Hacran Dias 48%.
Andre Fili carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.