Combat Edge Intelligence

Andre Fili vs Jeremy Larsen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Andre Fili
us

Andre Fili

“Touchy”

25-14-0FeatherweightUFC

1636Solid

Tale of the tape

25-14-0Record8-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
74"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamArizona Combat Sports

What's at stake

Andre Fili is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Jeremy Larsen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andre FiliNow 1636
If they win+8→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1620
Jeremy LarsenNow 1505
If they win+22→ 1527
If they lose-10→ 1495

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1691 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.88
Sig. strikes / min
4.87
38%
Strike accuracy
48%
4.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.75
51%
Strike defense
57%
2.32
Takedown avg.
2.49
47%
Takedown accuracy
33%
72%
Takedown defense
0%
0.22
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Andre FiliJeremy Larsen
1500155016001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (40%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
3 (12%)
Submission
3 (38%)
12 (48%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Andre Fili84%
Jeremy Larsen 16%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Andre Fili a 84% favorite over Jeremy Larsen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Andre Fili holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1636 to 1505, a 131-point edge.

Andre Fili enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jeremy Larsen enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Andre Fili finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Jeremy Larsen 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.