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Combat Edge Intelligence

Andre Fili vs Jeremy Larsen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Andre Fili
us

Andre Fili

“Touchy”

25-14-0FeatherweightUFC

1650Good

Tale of the tape

25-14-0Record8-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
74"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamArizona Combat Sports

What's at stake

Andre Fili is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Jeremy Larsen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andre FiliNow 1650
If they win+7→ 1657
If they lose-17→ 1633
Jeremy LarsenNow 1505
If they win+22→ 1527
If they lose-10→ 1495

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1689 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.89
Sig. strikes / min
4.87
38%
Strike accuracy
48%
4.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.75
50%
Strike defense
57%
2.24
Takedown avg.
2.49
25%
Takedown accuracy
33%
72%
Takedown defense
0%
0.21
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Andre FiliJeremy Larsen
1500155016001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (40%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
3 (12%)
Submission
3 (38%)
12 (48%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Andre Fili94%
Jeremy Larsen 6%Elo baseline: 70%

The Combat Edge model makes Andre Fili a 94% favorite over Jeremy Larsen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).

Andre Fili holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1650 to 1505, a 145-point edge.

Jeremy Larsen enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Andre Fili finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Jeremy Larsen 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.