Andre Fili vs Lucas Almeida
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-14-0Record15-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height6'0"
74"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamTeam Kioshi
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1662
If they lose-12→ 1638
If they win+15→ 1679
If they lose-17→ 1647
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1689 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1623 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Andre FiliLucas Almeida
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Andre Fili74%
Lucas Almeida 26%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Andre Fili a 74% favorite over Lucas Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lucas Almeida's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1664), separated by just 14 points.
Andre Fili finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Almeida 93%.
Andre Fili carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.