Andre Fili vs Lucas Almeida
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-14-0Record15-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height6'0"
74"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamTeam Kioshi
What's at stake
Lucas Almeida is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Andre Fili carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1649
If they lose-11→ 1625
If they win+15→ 1666
If they lose-17→ 1634
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1691 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andre FiliLucas Almeida
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Andre Fili and Lucas Almeida within a point of even.
Lucas Almeida holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1651 to 1636, a 15-point edge.
Andre Fili enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Lucas Almeida enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Andre Fili finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Almeida 93%.
Andre Fili carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.