Andre Fili vs Max Holloway
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-14-0Record28-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
74"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamGracie Technics
What's at stake
Max Holloway is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Andre Fili carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1668
If they lose-6→ 1644
If they win+6→ 1836
If they lose-18→ 1812
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1689 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1791 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Andre FiliMax Holloway
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Max Holloway78%
Andre Fili 22%Elo baseline: 74%
The Combat Edge model makes Max Holloway a 78% favorite over Andre Fili in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).
Max Holloway holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1830 to 1650, a 180-point edge.
Andre Fili finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Max Holloway 54%.
Andre Fili carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.