Combat Edge Intelligence

Andre Fili vs Max Holloway

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Andre Fili
us

Andre Fili

“Touchy”

25-14-0FeatherweightUFC

1636Solid

Tale of the tape

25-14-0Record28-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
74"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamGracie Technics

What's at stake

Max Holloway is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Andre Fili carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andre FiliNow 1636
If they win+18→ 1654
If they lose-6→ 1630
Max HollowayNow 1830
If they win+6→ 1836
If they lose-18→ 1812

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1691 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1791 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.88
Sig. strikes / min
6.91
38%
Strike accuracy
48%
4.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.61
51%
Strike defense
59%
2.32
Takedown avg.
0.23
47%
Takedown accuracy
53%
72%
Takedown defense
81%
0.22
Submission avg.
0.28

Trajectory

Andre FiliMax Holloway
16501700175018001850202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (40%)
KO/TKO
13 (46%)
3 (12%)
Submission
2 (7%)
12 (48%)
Decision
13 (46%)

Combat Edge model read

Max Holloway92%
Andre Fili 8%Elo baseline: 75%

The Combat Edge model makes Max Holloway a 92% favorite over Andre Fili in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).

Max Holloway holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1830 to 1636, a 194-point edge.

Andre Fili enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andre Fili finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Max Holloway 54%.

Andre Fili carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.