Andre Fili vs Melquizael Costa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-14-0Record26-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
74"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamChute Boxe Joao Emilio· 1706 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Melquizael Costa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Andre Fili carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1663
If they lose-11→ 1639
If they win+11→ 1696
If they lose-13→ 1672
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1689 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1683 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Andre FiliMelquizael Costa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Andre Fili70%
Melquizael Costa 30%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Andre Fili a 70% favorite over Melquizael Costa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Melquizael Costa's way (45%).
Melquizael Costa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1650, a 35-point edge.
Andre Fili finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Melquizael Costa 65%.
Andre Fili and Melquizael Costa share 2 common opponents: Christian Rodriguez and Dan Ige.
Andre Fili carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.