Andre Fili vs Melquizael Costa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-14-0Record26-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
74"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamChute Boxe Joao Emilio
What's at stake
Melquizael Costa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Andre Fili carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1650
If they lose-10→ 1626
If they win+10→ 1692
If they lose-14→ 1668
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1691 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andre FiliMelquizael Costa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Melquizael Costa64%
Andre Fili 36%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Melquizael Costa a 64% favorite over Andre Fili in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Melquizael Costa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1682 to 1636, a 46-point edge.
Andre Fili enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Andre Fili finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Melquizael Costa 65%.
Andre Fili and Melquizael Costa share 2 common opponents: Christian Rodriguez and Dan Ige.
Andre Fili carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.