Andre Galvao vs Chris Mixan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-2-0Record7-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height6'1"
TBDReach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamPete White Boxing and MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1614
If they lose-24→ 1566
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1594 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andre GalvaoChris Mixan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Mixan60%
Andre Galvao 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Mixan a 60% favorite over Andre Galvao in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andre Galvao's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1589), separated by just 1 points.
Chris Mixan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Andre Galvao finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Chris Mixan 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.