Andre Gusmao vs Jon Jones
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-3-0Record28-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
TBDReach84"
185 lbsWeight248 lbs
TBDTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Jon Jones is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +4 while a loss costs more — Andre Gusmao carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+41→ 1651
If they lose-7→ 1603
If they win+4→ 1920
If they lose-20→ 1896
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1773 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andre GusmaoJon Jones
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jon Jones84%
Andre Gusmao 16%Elo baseline: 85%
The Combat Edge model makes Jon Jones a 84% favorite over Andre Gusmao in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (85%).
Jon Jones holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1916 to 1610, a 306-point edge.
Jon Jones enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Andre Gusmao finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Jon Jones 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.