Andre Gusmao vs Krzysztof Soszynski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-3-0Record26-12-1
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
TBDTeamReign MMA
What's at stake
Krzysztof Soszynski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Andre Gusmao carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1635
If they lose-23→ 1587
If they win+11→ 1638
If they lose-13→ 1614
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andre GusmaoKrzysztof Soszynski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Andre Gusmao52%
Krzysztof Soszynski 48%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Andre Gusmao a 52% favorite over Krzysztof Soszynski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Krzysztof Soszynski's way (48%).
Krzysztof Soszynski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1627 to 1610, a 17-point edge.
Krzysztof Soszynski enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Andre Gusmao finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Krzysztof Soszynski 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.