Combat Edge Intelligence

Andre Gusmao vs Leonardo Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record22-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReach75"
185 lbsWeight206 lbs
TeamChina Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andre GusmaoNow 1610
If they win+24→ 1634
If they lose-24→ 1586
Leonardo SilvaNow 1616
If they win+12→ 1628
If they lose-12→ 1604

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.79
Sig. strikes / min
1.07
44%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.28
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.54
61%
Strike defense
50%
0
Takedown avg.
24.11
0%
Takedown accuracy
50%
60%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Andre GusmaoLeonardo Silva
16001650200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
12 (55%)
1 (17%)
Submission
4 (18%)
1 (17%)
Decision
6 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Leonardo Silva60%
Andre Gusmao 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Leonardo Silva a 60% favorite over Andre Gusmao in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1616), separated by just 6 points.

Leonardo Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Andre Gusmao finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Leonardo Silva 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.