Combat Edge Intelligence

Andre Gusmao vs Marcin Prachnio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record17-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReach74"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
TBDTeamTatsujin Dojo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andre GusmaoNow 1610
If they win+24→ 1634
If they lose-24→ 1586
Marcin PrachnioNow 1611
If they win+12→ 1623
If they lose-12→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.79
Sig. strikes / min
5.57
44%
Strike accuracy
54%
3.28
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.24
61%
Strike defense
54%
0
Takedown avg.
0.15
0%
Takedown accuracy
20%
60%
Takedown defense
54%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Andre GusmaoMarcin Prachnio
1600165020092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
11 (65%)
1 (17%)
Submission
1 (6%)
1 (17%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcin Prachnio52%
Andre Gusmao 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcin Prachnio a 52% favorite over Andre Gusmao in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1611), separated by just 1 points.

Marcin Prachnio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andre Gusmao finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Prachnio 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.