Combat Edge Intelligence

Andre Petroski vs Francis Carmont

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record25-12-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
73"ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight205 lbs
Renzo Gracie PhillyTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andre PetroskiNow 1647
If they win+16→ 1663
If they lose-16→ 1631
Francis CarmontNow 1644
If they win+12→ 1656
If they lose-12→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.81
Sig. strikes / min
2.22
49%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.64
53%
Strike defense
59%
3.15
Takedown avg.
1.79
52%
Takedown accuracy
37%
86%
Takedown defense
73%
1.28
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Andre PetroskiFrancis Carmont
16501700201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
6 (24%)
4 (31%)
Submission
11 (44%)
5 (38%)
Decision
8 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Andre Petroski62%
Francis Carmont 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andre Petroski a 62% favorite over Francis Carmont in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1647 vs 1644), separated by just 3 points.

Andre Petroski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Andre Petroski finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Francis Carmont 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.