Combat Edge Intelligence

Andre Petroski vs Josh Fremd

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record11-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'4"
73"Reach76"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Renzo Gracie PhillyTeamFactory X

What's at stake

Andre Petroski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Josh Fremd carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andre PetroskiNow 1647
If they win+14→ 1661
If they lose-18→ 1629
Josh FremdNow 1610
If they win+18→ 1628
If they lose-14→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.81
Sig. strikes / min
2.52
49%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.23
53%
Strike defense
47%
3.15
Takedown avg.
0.66
52%
Takedown accuracy
25%
86%
Takedown defense
30%
1.28
Submission avg.
1.09

Trajectory

Andre PetroskiJosh Fremd
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
4 (31%)
Submission
4 (36%)
5 (38%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Andre Petroski60%
Josh Fremd 40%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Andre Petroski a 60% favorite over Josh Fremd in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Andre Petroski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1647 to 1610, a 37-point edge.

Andre Petroski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Josh Fremd enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andre Petroski finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Josh Fremd 73%.

Josh Fremd carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.