Andre Petroski vs Josh Fremd
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-6-0Record13-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'4"
73"Reach76"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Renzo Gracie Philly· 1735 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamFactory X
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
If they win+16→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1633
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andre PetroskiJosh Fremd
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Fremd60%
Andre Petroski 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Fremd a 60% favorite over Andre Petroski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1649), separated by just 1 points.
Andre Petroski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Josh Fremd enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Andre Petroski finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Josh Fremd 77%.
Josh Fremd carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.